Colombia’s 2026 presidential election: What you need to know
The Political Landscape
On the left is Iván Cepeda, who advocates for the continuation and deepening of the reform agenda of President Gustavo Petro (the first left-leaning president in Colombia’s history). The focus is on social justice, environmental protection, structural economic changes, and the “Total Peace” strategy - that is, negotiations with armed groups. Even though the results of this peace strategy have been much weaker than hoped for, there has been concrete progress in some regions, such as local ceasefires and a reduction in violence in areas influenced by groups like the ELN.
In the political center, Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López advocate a more moderate course. They emphasize strengthening state institutions, fighting corruption, and implementing gradual reforms: an approach that aims for stability as much as it does for change.
On the right, Paloma Valencia and Abelardo de la Espriella are campaigning for stricter security measures and a more business-friendly environment. Their approach is reminiscent of the tough security strategy pursued during Álvaro Uribe’s presidency in the 2000s, which significantly improved the security situation in the country. It is important to note that, whilst today’s security challenges remain, they are significantly less severe than they were at that time.
Current polls suggest that Iván Cepeda is currently leading in the polls. However, most forecasts assume that he will not achieve the absolute majority required for a direct victory in the first round. If no candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, there will be a run-off between the two top-placed candidates. Various polls suggest that this second round is likely to be much closer and more competitive, with Paloma Valencia or Abelardo de la Espriella considered the most likely opponents.
What this means for tourism
Fortunately, there is consensus across the political spectrum on one point: responsible tourism is a key driver of economic development, employment and regional stability. This cross-party consensus is crucial for travel partners: it means that the sector’s growth trajectory is unlikely to be halted, regardless of the election outcome. Nevertheless, the election is a significant moment, as each political direction can influence the tourism sector differently:
Security and perception:
A key factor for international travellers. Whilst the approaches differ, with a stronger focus on negotiation on the left and stronger enforcement on the right, both strategies combine elements of dialogue and security measures. In practical terms for international travellers, this means that Colombia will remain a safe destination.
Sustainability and regulation:
A left-wing government could place greater emphasis on ecotourism, environmental protection and community-based tourism models, and may introduce stricter regulations in sensitive areas. At the same time, regardless of the election outcome, Kiubo remains committed to its sustainable approach and continues to work with responsible partners and on eco-friendly travel experiences, as it has done for years.
International Image:
Political stability and clear policy guidelines, regardless of who wins the election, are crucial to maintaining Colombia’s growing reputation as one of Latin America’s most attractive emerging travel destinations.
Conclusion for travel partners
Although elections can bring short-term uncertainty and unrest, the Colombian tourism sector has demonstrated remarkable resilience across various political cycles. Even during periods of political change or security challenges, international visitor numbers and investment have continued to rise, a sign of the sustained global interest in Colombia as a destination.
The long-term outlook remains positive, underpinned by the country’s exceptional biodiversity, improved flight connections and a young, increasingly professional tourism industry.
We will continue to monitor developments closely, particularly regional security dynamics, potential regulatory changes in tourism areas and investment priorities in infrastructure, and keep you updated on relevant news.
